what is facebook?
dave |
Dec 10, 2011 at 12:51 what is facebook?
it's a social network. so what? it's just a social network. we've seen them before. myspace, friendster... the difference is facebook got the college kids hooked and everyone else had to be there where their friends were.
facebook has 800,000,000 users. impressive. it's estimated to be worth $100B when it goes public early next year. impressive. it has the ear of some of the highest rated investment firms and technology companies in the world. impressive. it's founder has dined with the likes of the president of the united states and advised the president of france on it's internet policies. impressive. for the moment.
at any time the value of the company could start the mass migration to the next best thing. it's 800,000,000 users could stop logging in and log into a new service that's cooler, easier, provides a better experience and is the place where everyone else logs into. facebook has to constantly adapt and change to face the competition head to head. when a new service or a competitor provides something as simple as a new look facebook has to follow suit so as not to lose users. it's happened many times in it's existence. sometimes even pissing off some of it's user base.
the end of facebook is inevitable. there's no way it can survive against it's competitors who are always innovating to take away some of it's user base and value.
facebook hasn't found a way to transition from what it is to what it should be. it has mobile apps and some weird thing on set top boxes but it struggles to make them frictionless. people use these apps and set top box set ups because that's where their friends are but they don't like it.
eventually someone will do what facebook hasn't been able to do. most likely it'll be because facebook is an old leviathan that can't change into what it should be to dominate. although they have been able to innovate from days of internet yore they don't have what it takes to innovate further. they are now part of the way the internet... actually who cares about the internet, they are now what social used to be, not what it will be. timeline, it's most recent "innovation" will fail to make facebook social into the future. it's still facebook laid out differently.
for example, the google plus mobile app is so much more than what facebook has done with mobile. it's so much more frictionless. it's so much more integrated into a google user's experience. it's nearly ubiquitous for diehard google users. unfortunately google doesn't have the diehard user base to fully compete with facebook.
another example is diaspora. they're just facebook for pissed off facebook users without the pissed off facebook user's friends.
ultimately none have what it takes to be the future. both are limited at the moment. what is needed is full ubiquity on every lcd/led screen in our personal lives. simple (140 character), social (friends and family), and networking (linkedin) all on every screen for every social purpose. simplesocial.net (simple, social, network). one service, one app, one place to take care of everything on every viewable surface. it'll be a couple-a-three years but facebook is already shopping for a cane because it's getting old and feeling old age set in.
facebook, twitter, linkedin; start making your funeral arrangements. you just can't do what needs to be done.
facebook,
networking,
social 